How To Exploit The 80/20 Rule In Trading & Investing 3
While “cut your losses quickly and let your winners run” seems like simple advice, it is psychologically and emotionally difficult to do so.
While “cut your losses quickly and let your winners run” seems like simple advice, it is psychologically and emotionally difficult to do so.
Experienced traders will recognize that the dynamic described in Part 1 is expressed in the trading adage “Cut your losses quickly and let your winners run”.
Paretian effects dominate financial markets. Understanding this can bring about a paradigm shift that leads to a more profitable approach to trading.
Since markets are not normally distributed, we must understand how they really function. How does Pareto affect the way we think of and trade the markets?
The most important point to understand about markets is that outcomes aren’t normally distributed. Instead, they follow a Pareto distribution – the 80/20 Rule.
The expected value thought process is subjective and vulnerable to cognitive bias, and every trader will come up with different numbers and scenarios.
Most people understand that few outcomes in markets are certain, which means that they are rarely binary. How does this affect the way we think about markets?